The Moon is shrinking, and scientists say future astronauts will need to be much more careful.

The Moon is shrinking, and scientists say future astronauts will need to be much more careful.


July 17, 2026 | Peter Kinney

The Moon is shrinking, and scientists say future astronauts will need to be much more careful.


A Dynamic Place

The Moon may look geologically quiet, but scientists have found mounting evidence that it's still changing. As its interior cools, the Moon contracts, creating faults and triggering moonquakes. New discoveries are expanding the known danger zones, raising important questions for astronauts, landers, and future lunar bases.

MoonshrinkingmsnFactinate

Advertisement

A World Slowly Shrinking

The Moon has been losing internal heat for billions of years. As its interior cools, it gradually contracts, forcing its brittle outer crust to adjust to a slightly smaller volume. Scientists estimate that the Moon’s diameter has decreased by roughly 160 feet over the past several tens of millions of years.

Size comparison of the Earth, the Moon and NereidIapetusCallistus, Wikimedia Commons

Advertisement

A Wrinkling Lunar Surface

Scientists sometimes compare the process to a grape shriveling into a raisin. As the Moon contracts, compressional stress deforms its crust. Unlike a raisin’s flexible skin, however, the Moon has a brittle surface that breaks, producing faults and ridges as sections of crust are pushed over neighboring sections.

Mare Imbrium on the Moon. Mosaic of photos by Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter, made with Wide Angle Camera. Size of the image is 1100×1100 km, north is up. A map in orthographic projection, centered at 34.7°N, 14.9°W (but center of the cropped piece is somewNASA (image by Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter), Wikimedia Commons

Advertisement

No Moving Tectonic Plates

Earth’s crust is divided into tectonic plates that move, collide, separate, and slide past one another. The Moon has no comparable system of plate tectonics. Instead, stress accumulates within its continuous crust, creating distinctive geological structures as the entire world slowly contracts around its cooling interior.

4% Illuminated Crescent Moon and VenusStephen Rahn from Macon, GA, USA, Wikimedia Commons

Advertisement

Faults Leave Visible Scars

Among the clearest signs of lunar contraction are lobate scarps, ridges created when compression forces one section of crust up and over another along a thrust fault. These structures are common throughout the lunar highlands, and some are considered remarkably young by geological standards.

Lobate scarps - like those shown here on the floor of the farside crater d'Alembert - are not large, but they tell us much about how hot the Moon was when it was born and its ongoing thermal evolution. Image width is about four kilometers. [NASA/GSFC/ArizNASA/GSFC/Arizona State University, Wikimedia Commons

Advertisement

Moonquakes Are Nothing New

Scientists have known about seismic activity on the Moon since the Apollo program. Astronauts placed seismometers on the lunar surface more than 50 years ago, allowing researchers to record different types of moonquakes and begin investigating the unexpectedly active processes occurring beneath the apparently motionless lunar landscape.

Astronaut Edwin E.NASA Neil A. Armstrong, Wikimedia Commons

Advertisement

Several Kinds Of Quakes

Not every moonquake has the same cause. Researchers distinguish between deep moonquakes influenced by Earth’s tidal pull, thermal quakes associated with dramatic temperature changes, and shallow tectonic moonquakes connected with faults. The shallow events are especially important because they can be relatively strong and prolonged.

Tycho Central Peak Spectacular! Vertical view of Tycho central peak summit showing 120 m wide boulder, M127008391L [NASA/GSFC/Arizona State University].
On 10 June 2011 the LRO spacecraft slewed 65° to the west, allowing the LROC NACs to capture this dramNASA/GSFC/Arizona State University, Wikimedia Commons

Advertisement

Apollo Data Remains Valuable

Modern scientists continue reanalyzing seismic measurements collected by Apollo instruments. Researchers have combined those decades-old records with detailed mapping from NASA’s Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter. By comparing the locations of faults, surface features, and historical seismic events, scientists can investigate possible connections between contraction and moonquakes.

Artist concept of NASA's Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter.NASA, Wikimedia Commons

Advertisement

A Powerful South Pole Quake

Researchers examining faults near the lunar south pole connected them with a powerful shallow moonquake recorded by Apollo seismometers. The event was estimated at approximately magnitude 5. That would be clearly noticeable on Earth, but differences in lunar gravity and geology can make the consequences significantly different.

This image, taken by the advanced Moon Imaging Experiment (AMIE) on board ESA's SMART-1 spacecraft, shows crater Shackleton on the Moon.
AMIE obtained this image on 13 January 2006 - close to the time of lunar southern Summer - from a distance of 646 kiloEuropean Space Agency, Wikimedia Commons

Advertisement

Moonquakes Can Last Hours

Earthquakes generally fade within seconds or minutes, but some moonquakes can continue much longer. The Moon’s dry, fractured crust does not dampen seismic energy as effectively as Earth’s interior. As a result, vibrations can persist for extended periods, with some recorded moonquakes continuing for hours.

JOHNSON SPACE CENTER, HOUSTON, TEXAS - Apollo 11 Lunar Module Pilot Edwin E. Aldrin Jr. deployes the Passive Seismic Experiment Package (PSE) on the Moon's surface near Tranquility Base. The sensitive instrument remained behind on the lunar surface to radNASA Kennedy Space Center / NASA or National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Wikimedia Commons

Advertisement

Low Gravity Changes Everything

The Moon’s gravity is only about one-sixth as strong as Earth’s. Smithsonian lunar geologist Tom Watters explained that even relatively small amounts of ground acceleration could potentially knock an astronaut off balance. Shaking can also disturb the loose surface material known as regolith and destabilize sloping terrain.

Astronaut Charles M. Duke Jr., Lunar Module pilot of the Apollo 16 mission, is photographed collecting lunar samples at Station no. 1 during the first Apollo 16 extravehicular activity at the Descartes landing site. 
This picture, looking eastward, was taNASA John W. Young, Wikimedia Commons

Advertisement

Landslides Pose Another Risk

Researchers modeled the effects of seismic shaking on slopes near the lunar south pole. Their work indicated that some permanently shadowed regions could be vulnerable to landslides even under relatively modest shaking. Loose regolith on steep crater walls creates a particular concern for exploration and infrastructure.

south-pole-schrodinger-cropped-annotated.jpgUploaded by Patricia Moore, Wikimedia Commons

Advertisement

Shackleton Crater Draws Attention

The area around Shackleton Crater has attracted attention because of its location near the lunar south pole and the possibility of water ice in permanently shadowed areas. Research found that some slopes in this region could be susceptible to seismic landslides, complicating assessments of potential exploration sites.

Shackleton Crater in the Lunar South Pole region, mosaic created by LROC (Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter) and ShadowCam teamsLROC (Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter) and ShadowCam teams with images provided by NASA/KARI/ASU, Wikimedia Commons

Advertisement

The South Pole Prize

The lunar south pole is a major focus of future exploration because permanently shadowed craters may contain water ice. Nearby elevated terrain can also offer favorable lighting conditions. These characteristics could help support life-support systems, fuel production, scientific research, and power generation for future missions.

Schrödinger crater at center, near the south pole of the moon. Vallis Planck extends from the crater to the upper right of center, and Vallis Schrödinger is to the upper left of center, going through Sikorsky.  The south pole itself is in lower left, in sCropped from NASA image, Wikimedia Commons

Advertisement

Safety Is A Balancing Act

Selecting a lunar landing or base site requires balancing multiple factors. Mission planners must consider access to water ice and sunlight alongside surface roughness, steep slopes, boulder fields, and tectonic structures. New seismic research adds another consideration to an already complicated process of choosing safe locations.

Apollo 17 mission, 12 December 1972. Lunar Roving Vehicle (LRV) at the Taurus-Littrow landing site.NASA / Harrison H. Schmitt, Wikimedia Commons

Advertisement

A Major 2026 Discovery

In February 2026, researchers reported the first worldwide mapping and detailed study of small mare ridges, known as SMRs. These subtle terrain features occur across the Moon’s broad, dark plains. The work showed that recent contraction features are far more widespread than scientists had previously documented.

Bow of wrinkle ridges, called Dorsa Geikie, near the center of Mare Fecunditatis on the Moon. According to some suggestions, it can outline the submerged inner ring of Fecunditatis basin (e.g., Wilhelms, 1987, Wood, 2010). Craters Messier A and Messier arNASA, Wikimedia Commons

Advertisement

More Than A Thousand Ridges

Researchers identified 1,114 previously unrecognized small mare ridge segments across the lunar maria on the Moon’s near side. Their new catalog increased the total number of known SMRs to 2,634, giving scientists a much more complete picture of geological structures associated with lunar contraction.

The optical navigation camera mounted on the Orion spacecraft captured these views of the Moon’s surface. On flight day 20 of the Artemis I mission, the spacecraft made its second and final close approach to the Moon before its returned powered flyby burnNASA Johnson, Wikimedia Commons

Advertisement

Surprisingly Young Features

The team estimated that the average small mare ridge is approximately 124 million years old. Earlier research estimated an average age of about 105 million years for lobate scarps. Those comparable ages place both types of features among the youngest geological structures found on the Moon.

A North-South trending lobate scarp lies within Xenophanes crater. LROC NAC M118031613LE, image width is 600 m [NASA/GSFC/Arizona State University].NASA/GSFC/Arizona State University, Wikimedia Commons

Advertisement

Two Landscapes, One Process

Small mare ridges and lobate scarps appear in different lunar environments, but scientists found that they form through the same kind of compressional faulting. Lobate scarps occur in the highlands, while SMRs are restricted to the maria, the large dark plains visible from Earth.

Photo of the full moon in March in Switzerland.Katsiaryna Naliuka, Wikimedia Commons

Advertisement

The Connections Become Clearer

Researchers found locations where lobate scarps in the lunar highlands transition into small mare ridges within neighboring maria. That connection strengthens the evidence that both structures share a common origin and are products of the same global contraction affecting the Moon’s crust.

Marine wrinkle ridge (at the right) which transits into a lobate scarp (at the left) on the western shore of Mare Serenitatis (see Clark et al., 2017). Photo by Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter, made with Wide Angle Camera on 6 January 2010 from altitude 41 kNASA, Wikimedia Commons

Advertisement

New Potential Quake Zones

Earlier research connected the forces that create lobate scarps with recorded moonquakes. Because small mare ridges form through the same type of faulting, researchers say seismic activity may also occur throughout lunar maria containing these features. The new catalog therefore expands the map of potential moonquake sources.

three people in lab coats looking at a tabletNational Cancer Institute, Unsplash

Advertisement

Equipment Faces Its Own Risks

Astronauts are not the only concern. Seismic shaking could shift lander footpads, tilt scientific instruments, or disturb carefully aligned communication and power equipment. Over longer periods, repeated shaking could fatigue structural joints, loosen anchoring systems, and affect cables or pipelines serving permanent infrastructure.

Eugene Cernan on the Moon during the Apollo 17 mission. Cropped version of Image AS17-134-20378.Harrison Schmitt, Wikimedia Commons

Advertisement

Building For Lunar Quakes

Engineers can reduce seismic risks through careful site selection and specialized construction. Proposed measures include stable bases, adjustable footpads, anchoring systems extending through loose regolith, flexible structural components, and shock-absorbing equipment mounts. Heavy objects inside habitats could also require restraints to prevent dangerous movement.

Buzz Aldrin removing the passive seismometer from a compartment in the SEQ bay of the Lunar Lander.Neil Armstrong, Wikimedia Commons

Advertisement

More Seismometers Are Needed

Scientists still lack a complete picture of seismic activity across the Moon. Existing records are geographically limited because Apollo instruments were concentrated on the near side. A wider seismic monitoring network could track the frequency, strength, and distribution of moonquakes and improve future hazard maps.

Apollo 12's Passive Seismic Experiment.NASA, Wikimedia Commons

Advertisement

A More Dynamic Moon

The new discoveries reinforce a picture of the Moon as a geologically dynamic world still responding to the loss of internal heat. Scientists emphasize that the findings should not discourage exploration. Instead, better tectonic maps and seismic measurements can help future missions choose safer sites and build stronger infrastructure.

Full Moon photograph taken 10-22-2010 from Madison, Alabama, USA. Photographed with a Celestron 9.25 Schmidt-Cassegrain telescope. Acquired with a Canon EOS Rebel T1i (EOS 500D), 20 images stacked to reduce noise. 200 ISO 1/640 sec.Gregory H. Revera, Wikimedia Commons

Advertisement

You May Also Like:

Scientists are struggling to explain the origin of an object found buried on the far side of the moon.

Scientists revealed the strange chemistry of a rare comet from far beyond our solar system.

NASA researchers detected a mysterious signal from deep space that repeats every 44 minutes.

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 4


READ MORE

Cenote Angelita Internal

Cenote Angelita: The World’s Most Unique Dive

Discover Cenote Angelita, a stunning cave dive in Mexico that hides a magical secret deep within its intriguing walls. Find out what's lurking at the bottom of this popular dive site, making it one of the world's most unique experiences.
February 16, 2024 Sammy Tran
Gros Morne National Park

Five Incredible Destinations For Nature Lovers

If you’re looking to embrace the call of the wild and experience breathtaking views, check out these great nature destinations.
June 13, 2023 Kaddy Gibson
Extremesports Internal

The 10 Best Extreme Sports Destinations In The U.S.

Discover the top 10 extreme sports destinations in the U.S. Dive into the adrenaline-pumping world of adventure sports, understand their growing allure, and find out where to experience the ultimate thrills across the country.
September 16, 2023 Sammy Tran