The States Most Likely To Become Their Own Country—According To Other Americans

The States Most Likely To Become Their Own Country—According To Other Americans


June 10, 2026 | Jesse Singer

The States Most Likely To Become Their Own Country—According To Other Americans


Separate State Of Mind

No, nobody is actually leaving the Union tomorrow. But that hasn't stopped people from joking about which states seem like they're already halfway there.

So we dug through all the polls, forum discussions, social media debates, and plenty of 'what if?' conversations to rank the states other Americans think would be most likely to strike out on their own.

Older couple with cowboy hats, USA map backgroundFactinate

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30: Delaware

Delaware is small, wealthy, and home to an astonishing number of corporate headquarters. Nobody seriously expects it to declare independence, but plenty of Americans joke that Delaware already operates by its own set of business-friendly rules. If it ever became a country, the paperwork would probably be filed before anyone noticed.

Second Street in downtown Lewes, DelawareHarrison Keely, Wikimedia Commons

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29: Connecticut

Connecticut occasionally gets mentioned as a state that feels more connected to itself than to the rest of New England. Between its wealth, commuter culture, and distinct identity, some Americans imagine it quietly slipping away and becoming a tiny country focused entirely on finance, insurance, and arguing about pizza.

File:Stamford Connecticut Skyline Aug 2017.jpgJohn9474, Wikimedia Commons

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28: Rhode Island

Rhode Island already feels like its own little world. It's the smallest state in the country, yet residents often display enough local pride to fill a much larger one. Other Americans frequently joke that Rhode Island acts like an independent nation that just happens to share a border with Massachusetts.

The image showcases a Vibrant urban scene of Providence, Rhode IslandWangkun Jia, Adobe Stock

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27: Nevada

Nevada has spent decades proving it's willing to do things differently. From gambling laws to entertainment culture, it often feels separate from its neighbors. Americans who imagine a future independent Nevada usually picture Las Vegas becoming the capital of a country that never closes and rarely sleeps.

Downtown Las Vegas with the Las Vegas ValleyRmvisuals, CC BY-SA 4.0, Wikimedia Commons

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26: Oklahoma

Oklahoma occasionally appears in discussions because of its strong state identity and history. While few expect any actual independence movement, Americans often view Oklahoma as a place perfectly capable of looking after itself if it ever had to. The state has a reputation for resilience and self-reliance.

Tulsa Skyline, OklahomaJordan Michael Winn, Wikimedia Commons

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25: Kansas

Kansas rarely seeks attention, which is exactly why some Americans mention it. Its central location, agricultural strength, and practical culture make it seem surprisingly self-sufficient. If America ever split into smaller countries, many believe Kansas would simply keep doing what it's already doing.

Wichita, Kansas skyline aerial viewQuintin Soloviev, Wikimedia Commons

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24: Louisiana

Louisiana feels different from almost everywhere else in America. Between its food, music, history, and cultural influences, it often gets described as a place with its own rules. Other Americans frequently joke that Louisiana could become its own country and nothing about New Orleans would really change.

Vibrant urban scene of Baton Rouge, Louisiana captured from a high vantage pointCrackerClips, Adobe Stock

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23: New Mexico

New Mexico's blend of Native American, Hispanic, and Southwestern influences gives it a unique identity that stands apart from much of the country. Americans often point to the state's distinct culture and landscape as reasons it feels less like a state and more like a place entirely unto itself.

Vibrant urban scene of Albuquerque, New Mexico captured from a high vantage pointSeanPavonePhoto, Adobe Stock

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22: Idaho

Idaho has quietly built a reputation as one of America's most independent-minded states. With vast rural areas, a growing population, and plenty of people who prefer limited government, it's frequently mentioned in online discussions about states that could theoretically survive on their own.

Downtown Boise, Idaho on a fall afternoon in October 2014 as seen from the Boise Depot. (Robby Milo / http://rmilo.com)Robbymilo, Wikimedia Commons

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21: Maine

Maine's distance from much of the country helps fuel its reputation for independence. Many Americans view Mainers as people who don't need much from anyone else. Combined with a strong local identity and rugged coastline, it often lands on lists of states that seem comfortable doing their own thing.

File:Portland, Maine skyline aerial view.jpgQuintin Soloviev, Wikimedia Commons

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20: Oregon

Oregon has long cultivated an image of doing things differently. Whether it's environmental policies, local culture, or Pacific Northwest attitudes, many Americans see Oregon as operating on its own wavelength. It's easy for people to imagine Oregon charting an independent course if given the opportunity.

File:Portland Oregon Aerial, June 2024.jpgSpicypepper999, Wikimedia Commons

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19: South Carolina

South Carolina's history naturally puts it in these conversations. While modern secession isn't a serious topic, Americans still associate the state with strong regional pride and an independent streak. That combination regularly earns it a place in hypothetical discussions about states going their own way.

Vibrant urban scene of Columbia, South Carolina captured from a high vantage pointRick Lohre, Adobe Stock

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18: Wyoming

Wyoming's small population and enormous open spaces make it feel remarkably self-contained. Residents are often viewed as fiercely independent, and many Americans believe Wyoming would be perfectly happy being left alone. It's one of the few states people routinely describe as already functioning on its own terms.

Vibrant urban scene of Cheyenne, Wyoming captured from a high vantage pointJacob, Adobe Stock

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17: Arizona

Arizona often gets mentioned because of its strong state identity and unique Southwestern culture. The combination of rapid growth, vast deserts, and a reputation for doing things differently has convinced many Americans that Arizona could easily imagine itself as something more than just another state.

View from the south of downtown Bisbee, ArizonaNicholas Hartmann, Wikimedia Commons

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16: Montana

Montana's reputation for self-reliance is almost legendary. Americans frequently describe it as a place where people value independence above nearly everything else. Its wide-open spaces, small population, and frontier spirit make it one of the most commonly cited states in these hypothetical rankings.

File:Billings, Montana skyline in 2024.jpgQuintin Soloviev, Wikimedia Commons

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15: Virginia

Virginia has enough history to fill several countries. As the birthplace of presidents and a former capital of the Confederacy, it often gets mentioned whenever Americans discuss states with strong identities. Many believe Virginia sees itself as something slightly more important than just another state.

en:Downtown Richmond, Virginia looking west down Main Street from Libby Hill Park.Ron Cogswell, Wikimedia Commons

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14: Washington

Washington's location, economy, and Pacific Northwest culture make it feel distinct from much of the country. Americans often point to Seattle's influence, the state's global connections, and its unique political culture as reasons Washington seems capable of pursuing its own path.

File:Seattle seen from Rizal Park area.jpgRon Clausen, Wikimedia Commons

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13: North Carolina

North Carolina has quietly become one of America's most influential states. You got the fast-growing population, thriving industries, and the strong sense of regional identity—making it a state that is increasingly viewed as a place that can stand on its own. Americans often point to the state's mix of economic strength, political independence, and Southern culture as reasons it feels more self-contained than many of its neighbors.

North CarolinaPrecisionviews, CC BY-SA 4.0, Wikimedia Commons

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12: North Dakota

North Dakota rarely gets mentioned in national conversations, which is exactly why some Americans see it as a sleeper candidate for independence. The state has abundant energy resources, a strong agricultural sector, and a reputation for quietly handling its own business. In online discussions, people often point out that North Dakota seems perfectly capable of surviving without much outside attention.

Aerial View of Bismark, North Dakota during SummerJacob Boomsma, Shutterstock

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11: Massachusetts

Massachusetts has spent centuries being convinced it's right about everything. Whether discussing education, healthcare, history, or politics, the state has a confidence that stands out. Other Americans often joke that Massachusetts would happily become its own country if only everyone else agreed with it first.

The skyline of Springfield, Massachusetts. It sits on the eastern bank of the Connecticut River and is home to 156,000 residents.Quintin Soloviev, Wikimedia Commons

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10: Tennessee

Tennessee combines strong regional pride with a distinct cultural identity. Music, history, and Southern traditions all contribute to a state that feels comfortable standing apart from the crowd. Americans frequently rank Tennessee among the states most likely to embrace a fiercely independent future.

Vibrant urban scene of Nashville, Tennessee captured from a high vantage pointDavid, Adobe Stock

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9: New Hampshire

New Hampshire's official motto is literally 'Live Free or Die.' That alone guarantees a high ranking here. Americans often view the state as one of the most independent-minded places in the country, with a culture that strongly values personal freedom and limited government.

Manchester New HampshireNayaDadara, Shutterstock

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8: Vermont

Vermont has a surprisingly long history of independent thinking. In fact, it briefly existed as its own republic before joining the United States. Combined with its unique politics and strong local identity, many Americans see Vermont as one of the most plausible candidates for theoretical independence.

The image showcases a Vibrant urban scene of Montpelier, Vermonthaveseen, Adobe Stock

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7: Utah

Utah's unique cultural and religious history gives it an identity unlike any other state. Americans frequently point to its strong sense of community, rapid growth, and distinctive traditions as reasons it often feels separate from the rest of the country in both culture and outlook.

Salt Lake City, UtahAndrew, Adobe Stock

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6: Florida

Florida probably appears in more internet debates than any other state. Between its size, economy, climate, and reputation for doing unexpected things, Americans often joke that Florida already behaves like a separate country. In many ways, the rest of America treats it that way too.

File:Central Downtown Miami 20090513.jpgAverette, Wikimedia Commons

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5: Colorado

Colorado has developed one of the strongest state identities in modern America. Residents often display intense pride in their lifestyle, scenery, and culture. Other Americans increasingly view Colorado as a place that could theoretically stand on its own, largely because it already seems confident doing exactly that.

Telluride's main street, Colorado Avenue, with Ajax Peak.
Telluride, Colorado, USAWoody Hibbard, Wikimedia Commons

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4: Hawaii

Hawaii's geography makes it unique before any other factors are considered. Thousands of miles from the mainland and possessing a distinct culture and history, it's one of the easiest states for Americans to imagine as a separate country. In many ways, it already feels like one.

File:Hawaii Maritime Center from Aloha Tower.jpgCumulus Clouds, Wikimedia Commons

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3: Alaska

Alaska is physically separated from the Lower 48, which immediately fuels independence discussions. It's enormous, resource-rich, and home to a population accustomed to handling challenges most Americans never face. Many people believe Alaska could survive on its own more easily than almost any other state.

Fairbanks, Alaska skylineQuintin Soloviev, Wikimedia Commons

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2: California

If California were its own country, it would have one of the world's largest economies. That fact alone pushes it high on virtually every independence ranking. Americans often joke that California already sees itself as its own nation, complete with distinct culture, politics, and global influence.

San Francisco, California April 2022, Skyline along BayfrontSharon Hahn Darlin, Wikimedia Commons

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1: Texas

Let's be honest: everyone knew this was coming. Whether it's state pride, the Republic of Texas history, massive economic strength, or decades of pop culture mythology, no state is more associated with the idea of going its own way. According to other Americans, if any state ever tried becoming its own country, Texas would be first in line.

Houston, Texas Skyline 2017Jason Villanueva, Wikimedia Commons

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Sources: 1, 2, 3


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